Sigrún Davíðsdóttir's Icelog

The final election results and some first musings on the future

with 5 comments

According to the numbers I am waking up to, the Independence Party and the Progressive Party have the same number of members of Parliament each, 19 MPs each although the Independence Party has 26.7% and the Progressives 24.4%. The reason is, as I explained last night, different weight of votes between rural areas – where the Progressives get most of their votes – and the urban constituencies in Reykjavík – where the Independence Party has most followers.

The present coalition has lost 27% of its vote, a significant slap – the social democrats, the Alliance, lose 11 seats, have now 9 MPs; the Left Green loses 7 MPs, keeps 7 MPs, with respectively 12.8% and 10.8%.

Bright Future and the Pirates are the only new parties that gain MPs, Bright Future gets 6 MPs, 8.2% and Pirates 3 MPs, 5.1%.

The next step towards a new Government will be taken by the President of Iceland Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson. He now has to choose which of the two leaders of the two biggest parties, Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson from the Progressives and Bjarni Benediktsson leader of the Independence Party gets the opportunity to form a Government. The Progressives have given the voters generous offers with very little details as to how to fulfill their promises. If the Progressives will be asked first the Independence Party might be worried to join a Progressive-led Government.

The only chance of a two-party coalition with a strong majority is a Government with the two largest parties. It is still too early to see if other routes will be taken but it now seems likely that two anti-EU parties will be in coalition. The Progressives have used bold words about squeezing money out of foreign creditors of the two collapsed banks, Glitnir and  Kaupthing. Both the sovereign itself and some major Icelandic companies will need loans to refinance debt in the coming years. These will have to be foreign loans in foreign currency. Any move that closes international capital markets to Iceland will endanger the economic progress so far. The last four years have been tough – and so will the coming years be.

Follow me on Twitter for running updates.

Written by Sigrún Davídsdóttir

April 28th, 2013 at 9:20 am

Posted in Iceland

5 Responses to 'The final election results and some first musings on the future'

Subscribe to comments with RSS or TrackBack to 'The final election results and some first musings on the future'.

  1. “It is believed that few nations have tolerated oppression and aggression with more civility than Icelanders. For ages, up until this day, they lived in a forgiving placability, without ever attempting to rebel. To no nation was the revolutionary concept as obscured. Always were Icelanders ready to kiss the rod that delivered the most brutal blow and believe that the most heartless executioner was their truest comfort and safest sanctuary.” Halldór Laxness

    íris erlingsdóttir

    28 Apr 13 at 12:52 pm

  2. FYI- quote from Works of Halldór Laxness – Short Stories, ch. 23, p. 261

    íris erlingsdóttir

    28 Apr 13 at 4:16 pm

  3. Thanks Íris, an insightful addition to the debate.

  4. I would like to express my appreciation to you for rescuing me from this type of matter. After looking out throughout the world wide web and seeing recommendations that were not powerful, I thought my entire life was gone. Being alive devoid of the approaches to the problems you have sorted out by way of your good report is a serious case, and the ones which may have in a wrong way damaged my entire career if I had not noticed your blog. Your good training and kindness in maneuvering all areas was excellent. I am not sure what I would’ve done if I hadn’t come across such a subject like this. I’m able to at this moment look forward to my future. Thanks very much for this high quality and result oriented guide. I won’t hesitate to refer your blog to anyone who desires support on this subject.


    18 Jan 24 at 2:40 pm

  5. I just wanted to develop a comment so as to say thanks to you for all the nice steps you are posting on this site. My prolonged internet search has finally been recognized with good quality information to talk about with my company. I ‘d declare that we readers are undoubtedly endowed to be in a decent site with many awesome people with beneficial solutions. I feel really grateful to have discovered your website page and look forward to some more enjoyable times reading here. Thanks again for everything.

    off white hoodie

    20 Jan 24 at 6:08 pm

Leave a Reply